Posts Tagged ‘preakness stakes’

This race didn’t come up so easy for Kentucky Derby winner, California Chrome. Even though he is the 3/5 morning line favorite, going into the Preakness Stakes, the second leg of the triple crown, don’t be so sure he can’t be beat.
Social Inclusion has only three starts, but has room for improvement if experience was any question. He may have his front running style going against him if California Chrome can sit right off his hip and make a power move in the stretch to wear him down. Social Inclusion could hook California Chrome and we could see them both go head to head in a speed duel, ruining the chances for both, as the pacers conserve their energy.
Pablo Del Monte is not joke either. He looks like he could get better. He seems to have an even run based on his previously run route races and set the pace in his last start, in the G1 Blue Grass Stakes, where ran 3rd by 3 1/2. His best races look to be on the turf and synthetic, so maybe he will upset back on the dirt. All his recent workouts have been on synthetic as well, so this is a tough one to call.
Calvin Borel jumped off a 10-1, Ride On Curlin, to ride a 30-1 filly, Ria Antonia, who lost the Kentucky Oaks by 16 lengths. I think Borel, aboard Ride On Curlin, spotted the Kentucky Derby field too many lengths, even though he has been very successful with this riding style. Maybe just the name Curlin haunts him after a mistake he made, on Street Sense, gave Curlin just enough to nose him out of a triple crown dream. If Borel can’t figure out a perfect trip with Ride On Curlin, then I don’t think the new rider will.

Kid Cruz loves Laurel Park and Pimlico as he has won his last two stakes races at those tracks with Julian Pimentel, a hometown jockey favorite. Kid Cruz has not won a graded stakes, but there is a first time for everything.
Bayern has only 4 previous starts to go by, but has won a graded stakes. His pace setting style may hurt him here as this will be the toughest group he will face to date. Jockey Rosie Napravnik began her successful career in Maryland, so she may know how the pace at Pimlico should set up better than anyone.
General a Rod was not kept close enough to the pace in the Kentucky Derby, but ran pretty even. Even if he sets up closer this time, he still may not have enough to fend off a powerful California Chrome, who dominated the stretch in the Derby.
I would watch out for Ring Weekend and Social Inclusion, but I may change my opinion in the morning. The concern I have about California Chrome is no workouts published since the derby, not even a 3/8th move. The lack of speed work seems to be working for this trainer, but I think to ultimately win the triple crown, this horse needs some honing. This guy has been doing right by this horse to this point so I’ll just shut up now and hope this horse can go all the way. I’m going to jump on the California Chrome bandwagon for the win, but not going to bet him since there is really no value there.

Get the Preakness Stakes Past performances FREE here courtesy of Brisnet and Equibase. Here are links for easy download. Enjoy!

Equibase: https://www.equibase.com/rotw/fullpp.pdf
Brisnet: http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=PIM&race=12&param1=4380&param2=1241&param3=1933440


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